Bills Vs Texans Odds
Home field advantage has its advantages on the field and in sportsbooks for the Buffalo Bills.
The Buffalo Bills come into NRG Stadium on Saturday to face the Houston Texans in the Wild Card round of the AFC playoffs. It’s a hard-to-call battle between ten-win teams. Without much to gain, both teams lost last week, but that shouldn’t detract from how hard they fought to get here. Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans 01/04/20 NFL Betting Odds and Prediction. January 3, 2020. Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz NBA Betting Odds, Preview and Pick Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Lakers NBA Odds, Preview and Prediction UFC Vegas 19. Odds: Bills -101, Texans -119 The Texans opened as slight favorites and the line has failed to push up to a field goal. On a neutral field, this means the Bills would be half-point favorites.
Set to face the Baltimore Ravens (11-5) in the AFC Divisional round, the Bills (13-3) see that. Not only will fans being allowed in Bills Stadium on Saturday make a difference, that slight edge given to home teams via bettors is shown here.
According to BetMGM, the Bills open as 2.5-point favorites over the Ravens. Typically a home team will see a one or two advantage in games.
Considering that’s the case, really it means if this was a neutral site game, it’d be a toss up.
Last weekend in their 27-24 win over the Indianapolis Colts (11-5), Buffalo was a 6.5 favorite and did not cover. Doing so will come much easier this week pending a win.
Along with the spread, the over/ under sits at 49.5. By comparison to the other four postseason games, it’s the second-lowest in the NFL.
The moneyline sits at Bills (-135) and Ravens (+115).
Betting Odds
The Buffalo Bills come into NRG Stadium on Saturday to face the Houston Texans in the Wild Card round of the AFC playoffs. It’s a hard-to-call battle between ten-win teams. Without much to gain, both teams lost last week, but that shouldn’t detract from how hard they fought to get here. For the Bills, this is their second postseason appearance since 1999, having lost a wild card game in ’17. But with a good defense and a successful ten-win season, they turned the corner and look to make a statement in the postseason. It won’t be easy against a Houston team that won their fourth division title in five seasons and now looks to finally make a real playoff statement.
Imperfect Teams
The perspective of both teams isn’t terribly optimistic. The feeling is that they had good seasons, did a good job to get here, and now the winner of this game will be a sacrificial lamb to either Kansas City or especially Baltimore. But at the same time, both teams have high ceilings. With the Bills, they have one outstanding dimension with a defense that can control a game—the league’s second stingiest “D” in terms of points allowed with just 16.2 a game. With the Texans, they have a young star QB in Deshaun Watson, who wields two dominant aerial weapons in DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller, along with a 1000-yard back in Carlos Hyde. At their best, they are hard to stop and being at home doesn’t hurt.
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But the lack of optimism on both sides is also understandable. Buffalo has made great strides, and the growth of second-year starter QB Josh Allen is a big part of the reason why they're here. He's a dual-threat type of guy, and he has some legit weapons with backs Frank Gore and blossoming Devin Singletary, along with nice targets like John Brown and Cole Beasley. But it's still an offense that is good for less than 20 points a game on average.
For all of Houston's firepower, we've seen a general lack of consistency on the offensive side of the ball this season. Sometimes, they click, and sometimes they don't. Watson didn't have his best season, and since week 6, their best point-output was 28 points. It's also worth mentioning that it's quite unusual to have a 10-win playoff team that actually has a negative point differential overall on the season. Their secondary is one of the more-porous groups in the conference, and their run defense isn't a ton better.
Matchup Issues for Houston
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I think the Texans’ offense could potentially struggle in this spot. Their run-game hasn't been bad, but with it all riding on Hyde, Buffalo could clog that up with all that beef up front. Watson will need to take to the air, where he will be matching up against one of the best pass defenses in the league. With Jordan Poyer, Micah Hyde, Tre’Davious White, and Levi Wallace (questionable), they have a secondary that is not only stout but makes a ton of plays, as well. This 'D' can rush the passer and could be tough on a sometimes-dicey Houston offensive line.
Sure, the Buffalo offense in a playoff road setting is a significant hindrance. Not surpassing 17 points in the last month of the season just doesn't bode well in a postseason context. But the Houston defense isn't really that good in any area. They can be better at home. Getting JJ Watt back could have an energizing effect, and maybe playing a more-subdued offense will be more to their liking. It's just not a defense that one imagines with a real playoff contender. And the 'D' on the other side of the field has just been so much better.
- Get more details:Bills at Texans NFL Wild Card Match up
Having points in a game where scoring might not be rampant is a good feeling. And while it may be true that neither team is going to go far in this postseason, the Bills appear to be the better team. They at least have one thing they do really well, which makes them more-bankable in this realm. With six wins away from home this season, the Bills have shown they can do what they do well on the road. I see them covering the spread this week in Houston.