Super Bowl 49 Coin Toss

Posted on by admin
Super Bowl 49 Coin Toss 3,8/5 5646 reviews

Compared to an average NFL player or coach, Joe Football Fan knows squat about football. Common football fans can’t translate “G 2 Split Flank Fing 80 Hot X Tennessee”. They don’t understand complex offensive line protections or exotic blitzes. Even something as seemingly straightforward as a receiver route tree can be beyond the comprehension of millions of people that plan on watching the Super Bowl.

  • No Need for Coin Toss! Discussion in 'Politics' started by Detroitgator, Feb 7, 2016.
  • Handicapping Coin Toss History & Pick for Super Bowl Sunday 2-4-2018: Keep visiting Cappers Picks for free picks, odds & previews.

List of whether the Coin Toss landed on Heads or Tails for all Past Super Bowls. List of which teams won the Coin Toss. Super Bowl Coin Toss Results.

However, every football fan understands, “heads or tails.”

Therefore every football fan is equipped to bet on the Super Bowl coin toss.

The Kansas City Chiefs will take on Tampa Bay at 6:30 p.m. on Sunday, Feb. 7 in Super Bowl LV. This single sporting event will be the single biggest sports gambling event on the planet this year, with nearly $7 billion wagered on last year’s Super Bowl.

The majority of the money bet on the Super Bowl is bet on the side or the total. Kansas City is currently a -3.0 favorite and the total is 56.5. But one sportsbook manager estimates that nearly 30 percent of the book’s handle will come from money bet on proposition bets (or “props”) that have no direct impact on the game.

The public’s favorite prop: betting the Super Bowl coin toss.

Super Bowl 49 Coin Toss

On its face, betting on the coin toss is about as idiotic of a bet as anyone can make. This is a pure 50-50 proposition and there is absolutely no handicapping or strategy involved. It is, for lack of a better word, a guess.

Now, a simple-minded retort would be that all gambling is merely “guessing” since no one knows what is going to happen. That’s true, in a freshman-philosophy-student-kind-of-way. But there is an enormous amount of data and strategy that goes into something like betting on the Super Bowl total, which has a wide variety of potential permutations and outcomes.

A coin toss, on the other hand, is as basic as it gets.

And that’s why I think that’s one of the main reason that people like betting on the Super Bowl coin toss. It is simple. A coin toss represents something elementary and straightforward. Compared to the chaos and confusion of an NFL game, the coin toss seems like something that a bettor can control. That’s nonsense, of course, but that illusion of control -- specifically because there AREN’T a seemingly infinite amount of outcomes – can be a strong psychological driver for gamblers.

TossSuper Bowl 49 Coin Toss

That brings me to the second reason that I think that people like betting on the Super Bowl coin toss. The reality is that the Super Bowl is the largest cultural event in this country and one of the largest in the entire world. The draw and meaning of something that big isn’t lost on people. And there are people desperate to be a part of something that monumental. That’s why people who don’t otherwise bet on football bet on the Super Bowl: they feel like it means more and they feel as if their wager inextricable links them to this monolithic human event.

Super bowl 49 coin toss game

If you bet on the Super Bowl – even if it is the coin toss – you are part of the Super Bowl.

(Of course, some guys just want to bet on the coin toss so that they can brag about having bet on the coin toss. In the sports gambling industry, those people are know as schmucks.)

Now that we’ve established a psychological reasoning for wanting to bet on the Super Bowl, let’s get into the mathematics of it.

And math shows that it is still a terrible bet.

Betting on a coin toss is kind of quintessential example of how sportsbooks make their money. There are two possible outcomes (heads or tails), and each one has a 50 percent chance of taking place. The sportsbooks offer bettors a chance to wager on either outcome, but they attach the standard 10 percent “juice”, “vig” or “vigorish” to the wager.

What this means is that you have to bet $110 to win $100. What it also means is if 50,000 people bet $110 on heads and 50,000 people bet $110 on tails, the sportsbooks are going to walk away with $500,000 in profit no matter what the coin lands on.

In the 54-year history of the Super Bowl coin toss, tails has come up 29 times compared to ‘just’ 25 times that heads has come through. That nominal discrepancy has come thanks to a recent run of tails, with the coin’s butt coming through in six of the last seven years. This surge by tails follows a dominating five-year stretch of heads from 2009-2013, the longest streak for either side in Super Bowl coin toss history.

Because of the popularity of Super Bowl coin toss betting, the sportsbooks have diversified their wagering options. Books offer the opportunity to bet which team will win the coin toss or to bet on a sort of parlay wager that includes picking whether or not the team that wins the coin toss also wins the game.

The road team gets to make the call on the coin toss. This year Kansas City will suit up as the road team this year – home and road designations rotate from AFC to NFC each year – so they will get to call the toss.

Again, there is no real strategy or mathematical advantage to this prop. And therefore, as a professional handicapper I have to politely suggest that you would be absolute foolish for betting it.

But a problem is only a problem if you have a solution. And my solution is to recommend an alternate prop bet for you to place your hard-earned money on. These props are generic in that they are generally offered every year regardless of which team is playing. And both offer much better value than the coin toss:

Shortest Rushing TD Scored 'Over' 1.5 Yards (+120)

One-yard touchdowns are a lot more rare than they seem. It is not like it was 30 years ago when a team will get the ball inside the five-yard line and then run three times trying to pound it into the end zone. Teams throw at the goal line all the time. (Just ask Seattle. D'oh!) And to get set up at the one-yard line you almost have to just get a pass interference call. There have only been eight one-yard touchdown runs in the last 19 Super Bowls – and two of them came last year. I think these touchdowns are kind of flukes. I don't think there will be any one-yard scores in this game, and I love the plus-money value on this one.

Also, if you bet the coin toss because you don’t want to watch the entire game, then here is a prop

First Score Of The Game By Either Team Will Be: Field Goal (+180)

The first score of the game has been a field goal for three straight years and four of the last five seasons. Now, going back further, the first score of the Super Bowl has been a field goal in seven of the past 14 years. That basically makes it a 50-50 proposition similar to the coin toss, right? But the difference is in the juice. For the coin toss the juice (or vig) is usually -110 or -105. For this wager it is +180 for a field goal compared to -240 for the first score being a touchdown. All of the value is on the field goal.

Think of it this way: if you were going to bet on the coin toss, and heads paid out nearly 2-to-1 and tails paid out less than half of that then, knowing what you know about the odds of either coming up, wouldn’t you put your money down on the option with the higher payout? It’s the same principle here.

Carpe diem. Good luck.

Robert Ferringohas been the top football handicapper in the country the past 10 years, earning nearly +40,000 in total football profit (average profit: ++3,800). He has also posted 8 of 10 winning seasons (including four straight winning years) and produced an amazing 56 of 87 winning football months over the past 14 years. Robert has hit at nearly 60 percent winners over his last 1,000 totals picks and has posted 12 of 14 winning Super Bowls.

Toss

We are offering new clients $60 in football picks for Robert's picks or any Advisory Board handicapper of your choosing. Get your free Super Bowl picks now!

March Madness Scratch-Offs


March Madness Scratch-Off Cards

Large March Madness Squares


Poster Size March Madness Squares



The coin toss is one of the most popular, if not the most popular Super Bowl Prop bets. So, we decided to compile the data from Super Bowl 1 to the most recent 2021 Super Bowl, to see if heads or tails is more likely to appear. Now for the shocking results........ It's pretty much a 'coin flip'. For the first 55 Super Bowls the flip has landed on tails 29 times and heads 26 times. Heads did have an impressive run of 5 years in a row from 2009-2013. Below you will find a table that lists the coin flip results, including which team won and lost the coin flip for all Super Bowls.




Super Bowl 49 Coin Toss

Super BowlDateHeads/Tails
Toss Loser
LVFeb. 7, 2021Heads
Tampa Bay
LIVFeb. 2, 2020Tails
Kansas City
LIIIFeb. 3, 2019Tails
New England
LIIFeb. 4, 2018Heads
Philadelphia
LIFeb. 5, 2017Tails
New England
50Feb. 7, 2016Tails
Denver
XLIXFeb. 1, 2015Tails
New England
XLVIIIFeb. 2, 2014Tails
Denver
XLVIIFeb. 3, 2013Heads
San Francisco
XLVIFeb. 5, 2012Heads
N.Y. Giants
XLVFeb. 6, 2011Heads
Pittsburgh
XLIVFeb. 7, 2010Heads
Indianapolis
XLIIIFeb. 1, 2009Heads
Pittsburgh
XLIIFeb. 3, 2008Tails
New England
XLIFeb. 4, 2007Heads
Indianapolis
XLFeb. 5, 2006Tails
Pittsburgh
XXXIXFeb. 6, 2005Tails
New England
XXXVIIIFeb. 1, 2004Tails
New England
XXXVIIJan. 26, 2003Tails
Oakland
XXXVIFeb. 3, 2002Heads
New England
XXXVJan. 28, 2001Tails
Baltimore
XXXIVJan. 30, 2000Tails
Tennessee
XXXIIIJan. 31, 1999Tails
Denver
XXXIIJan. 25, 1998Tails
Denver
XXXIJan. 26, 1997Heads
Green Bay
XXXJan. 28, 1996Tails
Pittsburgh
XXIXJan. 29, 1995Heads
San Diego
XXVIIIJan. 30, 1994Tails
Buffalo
XXVIIJan. 31, 1993Heads
N.Y. Giants
XXVIJan. 26, 1992Heads
Buffalo
XXVJan. 27, 1991Heads
N.Y. Giants
XXIVJan. 28, 1990Heads
San Francisco
XXIIIJan. 22, 1989Tails
Cincinnati
XXIIJan. 31, 1988Heads
Denver
XXIJan. 25, 1987Tails
N.Y. Giants
XXJan. 26, 1986Tails
New England
XIXJan. 20, 1985Tails
Miami
XVIIIJan. 22, 1984Heads
Washington
XVIIJan. 30, 1983Tails
Washington
XVIJan. 24, 1982Tails
Cincinnati
XVJan. 25, 1981Tails
Oakland
XIVJan. 20, 1980Heads
Pittsburgh
XIIIJan. 21, 1979Heads
Pittsburgh
XIIJan. 15, 1978Heads
Denver
XIJan. Â 9, 1977Tails
Minnesota
XJan. 18, 1976Heads
Pittsburgh
IXJan. 12, 1975Tails
Minnesota
VIIIJan. 13, 1974Heads
Minnesota
VIIJan. 14, 1973Heads
Washington
VIJan. 16, 1972Heads
Dallas
VJan. 17, 1971Tails
Baltimore
IVJan. 11, 1970Tails
Kansas City
IIIJan. 12, 1969Heads
Baltimore
IIJan. 14, 1968Tails
Green Bay
IJan. 15, 1967Heads
Kansas City


  • Trending Now

  • Tournament Brackets

  • Office Pools

  • Printable Schedules

  • Game Brackets

  • How to Organize

  • Cool Tools

Super Bowl 49 Coin Toss Machine