Who Does Las Vegas Favor To Win Super Bowl
SuperBowl-Odds.com shows NFL fans and bettors who is favored to win Super Bowl this year. Find where to bet on the Super Bowl plus current Super Bowl lines. Answer 1 of 20: If you had to make one bet in Vegas, what would you say has the best odds?Toss it in a slot machine?Bet on Black/Red?One Hand of Blackjack?I'm always tempted to take my. We spent Super Bowl Sunday with the head of the biggest sports book in Vegas—where lots of people lost money because there was no safety, Gostkowski’s extra-point miss was big, and the Patriots.
Every Friday while the NFL is in action, ESPN Chalk will ask some of Las Vegas' top oddsmakers where the action has come in during the week. Here is the latest installment, covering the final game of the 2015-16 NFL season (and one of the biggest sports betting days of the year): Super Bowl 50.
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1. Where do you have the Super Bowl 50 line and total at right now, and where do you think they will go?
Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading, William Hill: We currently have the line at Carolina -5.5 with the total at 45. The line will either stay right at -5.5 or move back up to -6. At this point, 76 percent of the point-spread tickets and 91 percent of the total dollars wagered on the point spread are on Carolina.
John Avello, race and sports operations director at Wynn and Encore: We are currently at Panthers -5.5 and the total is 45. Throughout the weekend, the betting line may hover between 4.5 and 5.5; the total shouldn't move too much with the sophisticated action on the under and the general public on the over.
Jay Kornegay, head oddsmaker at Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook: Westgate's current line is Panthers -5.5. The Panthers money line is -220, the Broncos money line is +190 and the total is 45.
2. Is there any chance the line gets pushed to Carolina -7 at some point before kickoff?
Bogdanovich: No chance that the line moves all the way up to Carolina -7. The line will be steady right at the -5.5 or -6 range as it gets closer to kickoff.
Avello: I'm not sure this line even makes it to -6.5, so reaching -7 is quite a stretch.
Kornegay: It is highly unlikely that Westgate's game line will reach -7, even with the expectation that we will continue to see more public money come in on the Panthers up until kickoff.
Who Does Las Vegas Favor To Win Super Bowl
3. What are a few of the prop bets that have gotten the most action?
Bogdanovich: Everyone seems to take be taking an interest in the MVP prop, and it is really great to see, as this is the first year we have had the MVP prop on the board. A few others at the moment: total field goals in the game, total interceptions in the game, whether there will be a safety and the majority of the point-spread proposition lines for Carolina. The coin-toss prop is also very popular.
Avello: Two props that have received great action: quarterback combo -- total combined TD passes, interceptions and sacks by/on both Cam Newton and Peyton Manning (over or under 11.5), and whether Brock Osweiler will take a snap from center.
Kornegay: Popular props include the following:
Will there be a safety in SB 50? 14-1 ticket count in favor of yes
Will Super Bowl 50 go to overtime? 5-1 ticket count in favor of yes
Will Greg Olsen score a touchdown? 30-1 ticket count in favor of yes
Will Ted Ginn Jr. have a rushing attempt? 42-1 ticket count in favor of yes
We also have quite a bit of action on the player to score the first touchdown of SB 50, with Newton and Olsen leading in ticket count at odds of 7-1 on each of them.
4. Do you have more future bet liability on Denver or Carolina?
Bogdanovich: We have more future liability on Denver, that's for sure. Both teams have had a lot of future action, but we win more with Carolina than we would with Denver.
Avello: I'm in good shape with both teams in the future book, but I do a little better with the Panthers winning.
Kornegay: As it stands now, we will fare better if the Panthers win -- but we will also do OK if the Broncos win the game.
5. Which player has taken the most action to win Super Bowl MVP? Any long shots?
Bogdanovich: Most of the action so far is on Newton to win the MVP on Sunday. Bettors think Cam (-175) will run away with the MVP award, with 40 percent of total dollars wagered coming in on him to win. Other players who are taking some good action include Manning (3-1, 8 percent of the money), Aqib Talib (30-1, 6 percent of the money) and Luke Kuechly (15-1, 4 percent of the money).
Long-shot odds for Carolina players: Both Ed Dickson and Fozzy Whittaker currently sit at 150-1 to win the MVP. On the Broncos side, Andre Caldwell, Vernon Davis, and Bennie Fowler are some of a handful of players currently at 100-1.
Avello: A couple of higher-priced MVP selections whom the bettors have taken a shot with are Brandon McManus (100-1), Owen Daniels (100-1) and a few defensive guys -- Danny Trevathan (150-1), Brandon Marshall (200-1) and T.J. Ward (200-1).
Kornegay: We have the most tickets written on Von Miller at 25-1 odds to win the MVP award, followed by Kuechly at 15-1 and Ginn at 40-1. Talib has also received some support at 100-1.
6. What is the biggest bet you've taken, and what was it on?
Bogdanovich: William Hill's largest bet taken on the game so far is a $623,142.25 money-line wager (-190) on the Carolina Panthers. Bettor stands to win $327,969.60 if Carolina wins. The bet was placed at one of William Hill's Las Vegas locations on Jan. 25, 2016.
Avello: We've taken quite a few six-figure bets (half low-range and half midrange) -- with 75 percent of them on the Panthers -- and too many five-figure wagers to mention.
Who Does Vegas Favor In The Super Bowl
Kornegay: We've had a few five-figure bets on both sides.